Given the seismic cultural and partisan divides in America today, the United States Supreme Court is likely to play an outsized role in the 2024 presidential elections, as it has in past election cycles. With high-profile cases set to reach the Court in 2021 related to the 2020 and 2022 presidential election ballots, voter suppression, campaign finance and abortion, the outcome of those decisions could determine the mood of voters in 2024, as well as whether campaigns must adjust their strategy. Additionally, if President Joe Biden’s nomination of Judge Merrick Garland is approved by the Senate, that may provide further fuel to Republican fire, and could galvanize more conservative voters to come out and cast their ballots in the 2024 presidential election.
The Supreme Court just recently decided a case which strengthened the ability of First Amendment-protected political action committees (PACs) to influence campaigns and elections. This case could impact who and what issues drive turnout in the 2024 election.
Furthermore, the Supreme Court had a role in the 2020 election that cannot be overlooked. Traditionally, the Supreme Court has avoided intervening in the general election process, but in 2020 the Court stepped in to resolve numerous voting law disputes over the mail-in ballots. In the wake of these decisions, states and localities may have to adjust their voting policies and procedures, which could play a role in how we vote in 2024.
The Supreme Court looks poised to have an outsize role in the 2024 presidential elections. With major decisions on issues such as voting rights, campaign finance, and abortion ahead of the election, the outcome of these cases could significantly shape how we vote in the upcoming election. Consequently, the Court looks set to play a major part in the politics of 2024.
